Development of Ukrainian-Russian conflict: analytical forecast for next 2 weeks

Any process consists of such things as tactics, strategy and perspective. We call your attention to these aspects of the military conflict on the East of Ukraine.

Tactics of Russia

The enemy haven’t been changing the doctrine of parity since the beginning of summer 2014. What does it means?

Russian army could wipe dust AFU still in that times, but they didn’t do it. It would make a huge reaction in the world with recognition Russia not only state-aggressor, guilty in waging of open war against a neighboring state. However, they broke our border group, crushed our aviation, made Illovaysk, but didn’t go further.

Judging to this, the tactics will change forward. Insurgents answer with the completion of their brigades on the completion of our units. We got radars, insurgents had got portable stations of ground reconnaissance (PSGR) etc. According to this Americans don’t hurry with the ammunition for us. The end purpose is the destroying Ukraine as a state with the next stripping of its pieces. It is the tactics of equivalent pressure with some domination and looting.

Actually, according to this doctrine the actions of the enemy could be forecast.

The consequences going out from the doctrine:

  1. Supporting the tension on the frontline with help of subversive and reconnaissance groups and shellings;
  2. local offensives with glorification of results;
  3. premeditated retreats are possible in some places.

The informational and economic pressure also happens parallel to events on the front and it is followed the same strategic purpose.

 

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